Extensions for the POLES Model

10.52
From 2010 to 2011
TML developed two new modules for the POLES model on behalf of the European Commission to improve energy allocation and capacity planning. These modules, implemented in GAMS, support the EC's climate policy by enabling detailed simulations of the energy sector and strengthening the policy vision in international forums.


Transport & Mobility Leuven carried out this project on behalf of the Economics of Climate Change, Energy and Transport Unit (ECCET) of the European Commission DG JRC/IPTS. Its action plan "Integrated climate policy assessment: scenarios and economic impacts (ICPA-SEI)" develops, maintains, and uses several quantitative tools that examine trends around energy technologies, energy and climate policies, and their impact on greenhouse gas emissions. They include simulation models, quantitative assessment methods, and technology monitoring mechanisms. These tools are used to support and strengthen the EC's policy vision at international forums for climate protection negotiations.


The POLES model was developed over the years and provides a good integrated description of the energy sector. Due to the need for more detailed and comprehensive analyses, the POLES model needs continuous updating: two examples are the introduction of new modules and updated databases and the development of a better computing environment for data management and results analysis. The electricity supply sector in particular presents a challenge for modellers, as the product (electricity) does not really represent a homogeneous commodity. Depending on the demand curve, the value (price) of a kWh of electricity generated varies significantly between standard load and peak demand. It is difficult to model energy distribution and capacity planning in a simulation model. Therefore, this was improved under this contract.

The aim of this project was to develop two new modules for the power sector (for energy distribution and capacity planning) in the POLES model. The modules were implemented in GAMS and use optimisation techniques for problem solving. The structure of the modules allows a simple implementation as a stand-alone model, but also allows the modules to be linked to the POLES model implemented in VENSIM via a software link provided by IPTS.

Period

From 2010 to 2011

Client

European Commission’s DG JRC/IPTS, within the contract “Services to support economic modelling in industry, energy and transport. Lot 1: Partial Equilibrium modelling of energy sectors. Reference IPTS/2009/J02/24/OC”

Partner

Polish Academy of Sciences' Mineral and Energy Economy Research Institute (MEERI)

Our team

Kris Vanherle, Ignacio Hidalgo González
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